Growth in the new economy is entering a new phase
The World Economic Forum’s latest report, Growth in the New Economy: Towards a Blueprint, brings together insights from over 11,000 business leaders and two years of global dialogue to examine how growth strategies are evolving.
The conclusion is clear: growth is no longer defined by a single trajectory. It is being reshaped by a convergence of structural transformations.
Artificial intelligence, geopolitical fragmentation, rising debt levels, demographic shifts, and the rebalancing of environmental and societal priorities are collectively redefining the contours of the global economy.
At the same time, a sustained slowdown in growth and widening economic divides are putting existing growth models under pressure, across both advanced and emerging economies.
Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions are increasing uncertainty around long-term growth trajectories. Higher energy costs, policy instability, and skills shortages are emerging as critical barriers, while access to finance and infrastructure gaps continue to constrain lower-income economies. Yet within this complexity, clear patterns are emerging.
Growth is shifting geographically. Middle-income economies are expected to account for approximately 65% of global GDP growth by 2030, with Asia contributing more than half of global expansion.
Sectoral dynamics are also evolving. Information technology services, advanced manufacturing, and healthcare are expected to be key growth drivers, while traditionally strong sectors such as real estate and chemicals face slower momentum.
The report frames the transition through a set of “no-regret” moves and strategic dilemmas that decision-makers must navigate across four key areas:
-Strengthening productivity and human capital in an increasingly technology-driven economy.
-Balancing global integration with domestic capacity and resilience.
-Reinforcing economic fundamentals while redefining the role of government.
-Aligning sustainability transitions with long-term economic prosperity.
For business leaders and policymakers, the message is not about choosing a single path. It is about managing trade-offs. The organisations and economies that will lead in the new environment are those able to balance competing priorities, innovation and inclusion, resilience and efficiency, short-term pressures and long-term strategy.
Growth in the new economy will not be linear. It will be shaped by those who can navigate complexity with agility, while staying anchored in fundamentals.
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